Strong El Niño Signals Bad Winter Ahead In CT: Winter Forecast

Across most of New England and the mid-Atlantic, the weather this winter in the Northeast is predicted to be very different from last year's.

NEW YORK — A new long-range forecast indicates that a significant El Niño is forming in the Pacific Ocean, which might mean a very harsh winter for Connecticut.

AccuWeather forecasted that the weather in the Northeast this winter will be significantly different from that of previous winter over most of New England and the mid-Atlantic. The forecaster's winter prognosis for 2023–2024 states that many nor'easters might hit the area in January and February due to a strong El Niño.

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"While Buffalo may not receive as much snow as it did last winter, the millions of people who live along the Interstate 95 corridor are predicted to see more powder than they did during the 2022-2023 season," according to a study by AccuWeather.

Warm water approaches South America's west coast during El Niño winters, forcing the Pacific jet stream further north.

Due to this pattern, significant rains might arrive in the Southeast along with moist air. The rain may convert to snow when those storms travel into the Northeast's cooler environment.

La Niña, or cooler water along the west coast of South America, has affected the three prior New England winters. When drier air from the Arctic descends, New England might experience colder and fewer snowy winters during La Niña seasons.

The Climate estimate Center of the National Weather Service predicted warmer-than-normal temperatures in December, January, and February this week, in contrast to AccuWeather's estimate.

 The meteorological service predicts that those three months may see more precipitation than usual, but only in southern Connecticut, Rhode Island, and the southeast region of Massachusetts.

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